The model, measured
How the GoalCast model is built and how it measures up against bookmaker odds on matches it has never seen.
| Forecaster | 1X2 accuracy | Log loss |
|---|---|---|
| GoalCast model | 49.5% | 1.0126 |
| Bookmaker odds | 50.9% | 0.9998 |
| League base rates | 43.3% | 1.0755 |
How the GoalCast model is built and how it measures up against bookmaker odds on matches it has never seen.
| Forecaster | 1X2 accuracy | Log loss |
|---|---|---|
| GoalCast model | 49.5% | 1.0126 |
| Bookmaker odds | 50.9% | 0.9998 |
| League base rates | 43.3% | 1.0755 |